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Tim
du Toit
I
was born in South Africa in 1967. Since 1986 I have been active in
investing and experimenting with various investment strategies.
Through
studying the results of long term investment
studies I have come to the conclusion that a cheap (also known as
value) and contrarian investing approach is the most profitable. I
continue to study and expand my knowledge of these two investment
approaches.
I
am employed in the banking and fund management industry. I write for
EuroShareLab in my personal capacity with approval of my employer.
The views expressed are not necessarily those of my employer and I have taken
organisational precautions in accordance with statutory and
supervisory regulations to prevent a conflict of interest regarding my
writings. My employer has full access to all my analyses.
I hold a Bachelor of Commerce (cum laude) and Honours
degree in financial management from the University of Pretoria in
South Africa. My MBA (Finance) degree was completed at Indiana
University in the USA in 1995 where I graduated in the top ten percent of
the class.
I live in Hamburg one of the most beautiful (and relatively unknown) cities in Germany.
My Investment Journey
1986
The
year after I completed school I enrolled in a stock market
correspondent course called Compushare while completing my national
service in South Africa.
1987
I
invested my hard earned savings in an XT computer and a technical
analysis program. Prices were downloaded after the market closed through
a
modem. Also got to know Lotus 123 which introduced me to spreadsheets
- one of the loves of my life.
1988
I
pooled my limited funds with an investment from my father and started to
apply my investment ideas in the real world.
1989
I lost
a substantial part of the portfolio using technical analysis to
purchase gold shares. This taught me two important lessons. One, be
very careful of companies that have no control over the price their
products and secondly, technical analysis was not the holy
grail I though it was.
1990
In
my continued quest to learn as much about investing as possible I
purchased a book called “Winning on the JSE” by Karl Posel an
engineer and former Professor of Applied Mathematics. This book was
my introduction to value investing. The book broke investing down
into a logical process with the following steps:
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If
an investor does not know what he is doing then the stock exchange
is no place to be
-
Purchase only after
the announcement of interim or final results
-
Buy
only where interim or final results indicate an increased earnings per
share and/or
dividend per share
-
Only purchase shares where the calculated value is
more than the market price
using sector price earnings ratios and earnings per share
-
Realize
that the price of a share can behave illogically and have the courage
of your convictions to realise that logic will once again return to
the market.
-
Do
not purchase a company's shares if its long term loans are more than
20% of
its share capital and reserves
-
Do
not purchase shares of a company where its pre-tax return on capital
employed is less than
15%
-
Do
not purchase shares that have a weekly trading volume of less than
20,000
-
Have
some knowledge of the company concerned. Satisfy yourself about its
history, track record and modus operandi. Read Managing Director's and
Chairman's
reports
When
to sell
The
book made immediate sense to me giving me a framework that can be
applied to my investment process. I have since used and expanded this
framework to develop my own unique investment approach.
1991
I completed
my Bachelor of Commerce degree specialising in financial management.
I started my first year studying to become an accountant but the
first auditing class convinced me that it was not for me and I
changed to financial management.
1992
I completed
my Bachelor of Commerce Honours degree. At this time I made up my mind
that I want to complete an MBA in the USA, thus needing a fourth year
of study to gain access to the USA universities.
1993
– 1995
I completed
MBA studies at Indiana University in the USA. I had limited
investment activity in this time because of the work load and I
needed all my saved funds to pay for my studies. All the hard work
paid off as I graduated in the top 10% of the class.
During
my studies a friend explained the idea of contrarian investing. It
fitted well with my existing investment framework.
During
this time I was greatly influenced by "The Intellegent Investor” a book
by Benjanin Graham.
This book brought it all together for me.
-
Investing
is the buying a part of a business
-
The
market is there to serve you
-
Buy
when your downside is limited through a margin of safety i.e. the
calculated value is substantially more than the current price
1995
– 2000
Back
in South Africa I interviewed for positions with Absa Bank a large South
African Bank and Templeton Investments. I accepted the offer from the
Absa.
I
was eager to get back into active investing and immediately started
saving as much as I could to build capital. I then opened a brokerage
account.
My
investments were focused only on identifying undervalued companies. I
made a lot of money by investing in undervalued conglomerates and
investment companies. Daily I scanned the list of the biggest losers,
52-week low prices, lowest PE shares and highest dividend yield
companies to find investment targets.
2000
– 2001
Having
worked in various positions in international banking I thought it was
time to make a change and accepted a position with Citibank in South
Africa in strategic planning.
Again I spent evenings and weekends
researching companies and continued saving and investing. Using the
same value-based investment strategy my investment capital grew
slowly but surely.
2001
– Today
At
the end of 2001 a previous manager of mine at Absa Bank returned to
Germany and
asked if I wanted to come and work with him again. So without having
seen Germany and without speaking the language I decided to go. I
thought that for one year I could stand anything and it would be a
worthwhile experience. I sold everything and moved to Germany with about
10 cardboard boxes.
I
also sold all my South African investments and transferred all my funds
to
Germany. Slowly, as I learned more about the markets in Europe,
started re-building my portfolio, again focusing on
under-valued companies throughout the world.
South
Africa has capital controls which limits the amount of international
investments a South African investor can make. After my move to
Germany my investment universe broadened from about 700 to over
60,000 companies worldwide.
My
research into various investment approaches, what has worked in
investing and investment research studies by academics and
practitioners is on-going. This allows me to continuously refine
and improve my investment approach.
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