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Below
is a summary of the investment process we have developed over more
than 20 years of reading and practical investment experience.
We
thought it would be worthwhile to share it with you so that you can understand how we think about investing.
Overview
Objective
Produce
attractive positive long-term returns irrespective of market returns.
Strategy
Apply
a disciplined, long-term orientated opportunistic value approach
based on rigorous fundamental research.
Hedging
& derivatives
Only
used to enhance returns through selective position taking.
Investment
Strategy
We
believe that markets are mostly efficient and securities fairly
valued. Sometimes however securities are miss-priced creating profit
opportunities. Such opportunities occur because of irrationality or a
short-term focus.
Opportunities
can appear in any sector or in any type of security thus we am a
generalist without favouring a specific sector or company size.
Opportunities
typically fall into three categories:
-
Unknown
- No analyst coverage and or small companies
-
Unloved
- Missed profit forecasts, sector out of favour, restructuring and
financial distress
-
Special
situations - Workouts, liquidations, delistings and spin-offs
Investment
Process
Identification
We
identify possible investments through reading, screening using
certain financial ratios and examining the activities of certain
asset managers. we however, always make our own analysis before
investing.
Circle
of competence
We
only invest in companies of which we understand both the business and
the financial statements. We keep things simple with investment ideas
usually explained in a short paragraph.
Company
Is
it a good business?
Does
it have a sustainable competitive advantage?
High
cash returns on capital?
Healthy
balance sheet?
Strong
free cash flow?
Has
it got pricing power?
Industry
Are
the trends favourable?
What
are the competitive dynamics?
Management
Are
they trustworthy?
Are
they good capital operators?
Are
they good operators?
Valuation
Is
the security really cheap? Why?
What
is the risk return relationship?
We
seek to buy at attractive prices the shares of good businesses that
we understand and
which are run by capable, honest and shareholder
friendly management.
Portfolio
Management
We
do not believe in diluting our best ideas with inferior ones and thus
invest in a concentrated fashion.
However,
as no one can foresee the future development of security prices and
as we want to limit the loss of capital as far as possible. Our
portfolio typically consists of between 15 to 25 securities.
Securities
are bought when they offer an attractive discount to underlying
value.
Selling
takes place when we believe a security is fairly valued or if the
proceeds can be invested in a more attractive position.
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Risk
Management
We
define risk as the permanent loss of capital.
We
do not equate risk with the inevitable short-term movements of the
market thus we may buy more of a security after the price has
declined.
We
believe that buying a security that is trading substantially below
its intrinsic value is the best way to eliminate risk.
Only
after we have limited our downside risk do we consider the upside
potential of a security.
We
do not believe in leverage.
Even
though we do believe in concentrated portfolios we seek
diversification by industry, market capitalisation and type of
investment.
Also have a look at:
How we select investments
Financial analysis example (PDF 27 KB)
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