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Warren Buffett, the ‘Sage of Omaha',
is generally considered to be the world’s most successful investor.
His investment vehicle, Berkshire Hathaway, is legendary.
Below is a summary of Warren Buffett's investment phylosophy:
What is value investing?
Devotees of Benjamin Graham’s Value
Investment theory, including Warren Buffet, argue that the essence of
value investing is to buy stocks at a lower price than their
intrinsic value. The intrinsic value is the discounted value of all
future distributions. "If a business does well, the stock
eventually follows."
Why does Warren Buffett believe in
Value Investing?
Benjamin Graham was Buffett's mentor,
and the source of Buffett's success. For more information on Benjamin
Graham click here.
In his article The
Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville (Dodd was co-author of
Benjamin Graham’s famous book, “Security
Analysis”), Buffett refuted the academic
Efficient-Market hypothesis,
saying that beating the S&P 500
was "pure chance", and highlighting the huge number of
successful students of the Graham and Dodd Value Investing school of
thought.
Value Investing according to Buffett
Warren Buffett has
taken the Value Investing concept even further as his thinking has
evolved to where for the last 25 years or so his focus has been on
"finding an outstanding company at a sensible price" rather
than generic companies at a bargain price. "If you don't
know jewelry, know the jeweler."
In his November, 1999 Fortune article,
he warned of investors' unrealistic expectations:
“Let me summarize what I've been
saying about the stock market: I think it's very hard to come up
with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years
perform anything like they've performed in the past 17. If I had to
pick the most probable return, from appreciation and dividends
combined, that investors in aggregate - repeat, aggregate - would
earn in a world of constant interest rates, 2% inflation, and those
ever hurtful frictional costs, it would be 6%.”
Buffett’s guide to Value Investing
Stock investments should be looked at
in the same way as buying a business. The stock investor is really
buying a tiny share or partnership and should apply the same
principles that they would in buying a:
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The company should be soundly
managed. Tests of good management include:
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The company has demonstrated
earning capacity with a likelihood that this will continue. Tests
of earning capacity include:
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Company growth
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Dealing with inflation
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Capital expenditure
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Look through earnings
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Brand names
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The company should have
consistently high returns. Warren Buffett would look at both:
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Returns on equity
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Returns on capital
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The company should have a prudent
approach to debt.
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The businesses of the company
should be simple and the investor should have an understanding of
the company.
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Assuming that all these thresholds
are satisfied, the investment should only be made at a reasonable
price, with a margin of safety. This is always a matter for
independent judgment by the investor but it is relevant to consider:
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Investors need to take a long term
approach.
Other interesting Value Investing articles can be found by clicking here
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Sources and Further Reading
Buffettsecrets
Buffettsystem
Berkshire Hathaway
P. S. You simply have to invest when you find a good company in the software industry.
Here’s why.
A software company, once its development and fixed costs are covered, generates just about pure profit on each additional sale as the cost to produce an additional CD is virtually zero.
This month I stumbled onto exactly such a company when searching for an investment to recommend to my subscribers.
The company is trading at a price to earnings ratio of under 12. I agree this does not seem like a bargain but remember 2009 was a difficult year for all companies.
The company is even cheaper based on its price to free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital investment) of 8.7 times. This means the theoretical dividend the company can pay with the cash it generates is nearly 11.5%.
The only valuation measure (I look at 7) the company is not cheap on is its dividend yield of only 2.1%. This is due to it using cash to pay down debt taken on to pay for an acquisition.
But as the debt is nearly all repaid there is a lot of room for a substantial increase.
To find out how you can also get ideas like this monthly click here.
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